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Great Hotels predicts bubble to burst
April 2008 969

Great Hotels Organisation, exhibiting at ATM in May for the first time, has announced it believes the current Middle Eastern hotel market’s bubble will burst by 2010.

Currently the Middle Eastern hotel market is enjoying a period of sustained growth due to the fact that demand for rooms outstrips supply. During 2007, the Middle East hotel industry was the third fastest growing in the world, with occupancy levels increasing by five per cent to an average of 71.6 per cent, according to statistics taken from the Deloitte 2007 HotelBenchmark Survey.
Dubai continues to achieve the highest absolute occupancy at 84.2 per cent, yet Oman has emerged as having the region’s strongest growing market. Oman’s growth has been attributed to the current imbalance between demand and supply, yet with room capacity set to double by 2012, this bubble could burst as part of a wider trend also to be seen across the region as a whole.
According to GHO, this burst is due to occur as a result of the region’s over reliance on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) guests. This is possible due to the high demand for a limited number of rooms, meaning occupancy can be filled by these local markets alone. With hotel construction in the region being one of the highest in the world, however, the increased number of rooms available will cause intense competition for these regional guests, even if visitor numbers continue to increase.
Adding to the situation are the high inflation levels that exist in areas like Dubai. These steady rises risk forcing industry and commerce to host their events outside the Middle Eastern region, in areas like the Far East, where costs are much lower. In the past, Singapore went through a similar market trend which led to a slump in the hotel market, resulting in GHO’s similar predictions for Dubai in the future.
This negative outlook for the Middle Eastern market, however, does not have to become a reality. GHO is confident that if hotel managers in the region begin planning for the future now, a much more positive outcome can be achieved.
Debora Maloney, director of business development GHO, said, “It is possible for hotels to protect themselves against any potential downturn in profits but it is important that they act now. The key will be for hotels to act early to open themselves up to the international marketplace, so that any lost guests from the GCC countries can be replaced by international guests to ensure continued growth.
Visit them at stand TT340 at the Arabian Travel Market.

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